SignalMacro

CBOE Volatility Index $17.16 ↑ 14.2% 41th %ile (neutral) • KXINX 9.5% — 7,825 to 7,850

Kalshi: KXINX 9.5% — Will the S&P 500 be between 7825 and 7849.9999 on Jul 17, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

What changed

Kalshi: KXINX 9.5% — Will the S&P 500 be between 7825 and 7849.9999 on Jul 17, 2026 at 4pm EDT? Percentile: 41th in 90d range | Regime: neutral

Why it matters

VIX plunges to 2nd percentile extreme greed; Kalshi shows 20% probability on narrow S&P range.

Sources

futures